Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-06 3.694632 4.418346 5.226173 6.191772 7.311441 8.565670 10.073641
2025-07-13 2.834656 3.811705 5.014976 6.593110 8.594055 11.031008 14.206090
2025-07-20 2.232088 3.313241 4.758059 6.801417 9.582866 13.198265 18.206908
2025-07-27 1.863917 3.011510 4.655022 7.129855 10.699797 15.589260 22.700278
2025-08-03 1.511823 2.643467 4.370897 7.124378 11.307429 17.306683 26.408595
2025-08-10 1.193052 2.251961 3.970223 6.860166 11.467305 18.360404 29.228206
2025-08-17 0.954823 1.938679 3.629903 6.620062 11.602628 19.349311 31.992128
2025-08-24 0.806140 1.749494 3.457825 6.615880 12.087553 20.884583 35.677027
2025-08-31 0.689304 1.594330 3.316213 6.634991 12.596771 22.481197 39.560710
2025-09-07 0.582319 1.435302 3.139377 6.560651 12.925345 23.793851 43.067007
2025-09-14 0.470214 1.240122 2.859451 6.251806 12.794509 24.309210 45.272765
2025-09-21 0.404059 1.132270 2.735483 6.221830 13.160036 25.692663 49.029670
2025-09-28 0.345157 1.030067 2.610493 6.180415 13.513301 27.108376 52.998048
2025-10-05 0.324708 1.019670 2.684859 6.561538 14.725492 30.173015 60.108460
2025-10-12 0.294223 0.975893 2.676139 6.762714 15.596581 32.670554 66.362437
2025-10-19 0.274333 0.956644 2.721657 7.087480 16.748045 35.775630 73.928695
2025-10-26 0.239304 0.884891 2.627108 7.081401 17.204444 37.575164 79.167953
2025-11-02 0.197791 0.781747 2.434463 6.818409 17.079775 38.220527 82.247443
2025-11-09 0.164043 0.693092 2.262743 6.579540 16.977850 38.893476 85.409757
2025-11-16 0.143783 0.643985 2.189927 6.575362 17.400164 40.657770 90.818524
2025-11-23 0.126921 0.601948 2.129549 6.594364 17.875725 42.562121 96.617820
2025-11-30 0.109661 0.552807 2.038907 6.520425 18.122524 43.995946 101.542235
2025-12-07 0.089205 0.483369 1.871737 6.213255 17.771791 44.112557 103.749436